Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.329736 0.384738 0.446285 0.520308 0.606992 0.705377 0.825650
2025-01-05 0.236855 0.306822 0.393830 0.510203 0.662155 0.854356 1.116792
2025-01-12 0.189566 0.263632 0.362594 0.504937 0.705238 0.978270 1.380830
2025-01-19 0.160120 0.235895 0.343230 0.507057 0.752163 1.107449 1.665564
2025-01-26 0.144771 0.224253 0.342714 0.533154 0.833805 1.293798 2.057960
2025-02-02 0.132275 0.214268 0.342149 0.557514 0.914315 1.487410 2.488773
2025-02-09 0.120362 0.203039 0.337408 0.573479 0.982171 1.668439 2.924360
2025-02-16 0.108511 0.189978 0.327484 0.578649 1.031466 1.823680 3.337002
2025-02-23 0.097109 0.175965 0.313809 0.574856 1.063580 1.951951 3.718329
2025-03-02 0.085486 0.159922 0.294341 0.557601 1.068098 2.029770 4.014927
2025-03-09 0.079955 0.154292 0.292849 0.573263 1.136032 2.233892 4.585118
2025-03-16 0.073360 0.145745 0.284732 0.574828 1.176167 2.388591 5.077063
2025-03-23 0.068330 0.139809 0.281250 0.585855 1.238379 2.598911 5.724777
2025-03-30 0.061523 0.129447 0.267755 0.574614 1.252900 2.713189 6.184090
2025-04-06 0.056065 0.121180 0.257467 0.568660 1.277673 2.852181 6.719788
2025-04-13 0.051962 0.115283 0.251410 0.571055 1.321148 3.038069 7.393506
2025-04-20 0.050426 0.114837 0.257065 0.600542 1.430813 3.389998 8.523917
2025-04-27 0.048799 0.113968 0.261639 0.628070 1.539628 3.755070 9.746450
2025-05-04 0.046605 0.111498 0.262230 0.646114 1.627774 4.082258 10.924740
2025-05-11 0.043805 0.107237 0.258092 0.651957 1.686051 4.342875 11.968419
2025-05-18 0.040661 0.101749 0.250348 0.647670 1.717554 4.539013 12.867278
2025-05-25 0.036981 0.094482 0.237377 0.628169 1.706025 4.619875 13.453394
2025-06-01 0.035564 0.092844 0.238385 0.645870 1.798222 4.995096 14.960551